Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.293295 3.907403 4.635409 5.570851 6.753656 8.216723 1.019062e+01
2024-10-27 2.349555 3.068397 4.032824 5.455479 7.561452 10.668114 1.580969e+01
2024-11-03 2.043869 2.845580 4.015981 5.921467 9.097118 14.487950 2.511834e+01
2024-11-10 1.778508 2.596476 3.869159 6.106929 10.212796 18.067143 3.622056e+01
2024-11-17 1.607209 2.444045 3.820405 6.413220 11.613818 22.780343 5.315906e+01
2024-11-24 1.417864 2.223740 3.606777 6.356970 12.284768 26.308077 7.040619e+01
2024-12-01 1.286471 2.076157 3.486379 6.439046 13.267359 31.087779 9.653199e+01
2024-12-08 1.172765 1.940344 3.359838 6.472351 14.150363 36.146047 1.305582e+02
2024-12-15 1.105952 1.878101 3.359744 6.773932 15.817195 44.634550 1.941786e+02
2024-12-22 1.005627 1.739046 3.183368 6.631722 16.252579 49.476976 2.503044e+02
2024-12-29 0.932750 1.643135 3.079807 6.638651 17.129409 56.680003 3.419570e+02
2025-01-05 0.860684 1.539974 2.945059 6.537437 17.648629 62.980919 4.502937e+02
2025-01-12 0.810843 1.485926 2.931873 6.817054 19.799480 80.229308 7.825309e+02
2025-01-19 0.735437 1.371905 2.771210 6.675960 20.534521 92.348590 1.194139e+03
2025-01-26 0.713491 1.366686 2.860252 7.276269 24.508288 131.148137 2.904592e+03
2025-02-02 0.673786 1.316721 2.831508 7.516304 27.240672 169.173895 6.481817e+03
2025-02-09 0.645244 1.287419 2.848580 7.913688 31.091084 229.771766 1.928926e+04
2025-02-16 0.599948 1.213566 2.736690 7.840613 32.579948 273.526305 4.709065e+04
2025-02-23 0.566508 1.163357 2.679436 7.947254 35.224501 345.064290 1.832953e+05
2025-03-02 0.534207 1.111923 2.610148 7.990553 37.618262 429.032619 1.139288e+06
2025-03-09 0.516045 1.092665 2.628186 8.383295 42.773124 605.366250 2.917162e+08
2025-03-16 0.482217 1.030582 2.512156 8.197950 43.782324 705.621563 NaN
2025-03-23 0.456992 0.987589 2.446281 8.206974 46.378262 884.936216 NaN